This brief report describes a scenario design exercise undertaken to study the future evolution of the sustainable development paradigm and its possible implications for the Spanish development model. For this purpose, three scenarios were built for a time horizon extending to 2025, displaying possible alternative economic, energetic, technological and environmental contexts. Finally, scenario implications were determined for the social, economic, territorial and governance models in the Spanish context.
Posts Tagged ‘social change’
EFP Brief No. 172: Future Scenarios for the Spanish Sustainable Development Model
Tuesday, May 24th, 2011Tags: governance models, human resources, institutional resources, natural resources, social change, technoloical resources
Posted in brief, Environment (including climate change), Spain, until 2025 | Comments Off
EFP Brief No. 167: The World in 2025
Tuesday, May 24th, 2011DG Research’s Directorate for Science, Economy and Society in collaboration with the Bureau of European Policy Advisers launched a foresight exercise on “The World in 2025”, which resulted in a report published in January 2009.
Tags: demography, education, natural resources, social change, technological innovation
Posted in brief, China, Environment (including climate change), EU, France, Greece, Italy, Netherlands, Portugal, Russia, Sweden, United Kingdom, until 2025 | Comments Off
EFP Brief No. 149: EU-Africa Energy Partnership: Implications for Biofuel Use
Sunday, May 22nd, 2011This brief intends to provide an overview of the rationale underlying the EU-Africa Energy Partnership, in addition to an analysis of the potential implications of this policy on the development of sub-Saharan African nations. It is posited that the partnership could have potentially negative repercussions if critical uncertainties are not sufficiently taken into account, and that it is in the EU’s best interest to ensure that outcomes are genuinely equitable. The research also has implications for other developing nations around the world seeking to further their economies and raise living standards by means of engaging in the global biofuels industry.
Tags: biofuel, climate, environmental sustainability, farming, gas, hydrogen, natural resources, OPEC, roadmap, social change, sustainability, tourism, vehicle, water
Posted in brief, Energy, Environment (including climate change), EU, Food, agriculture and fisheries, biotechnology, FP7 Themes, Geography, Global, Nanosciences, nanotechnology, materials, new production technologies, Security, Socio-economic sciences and the humanities, Time Horizon, Transport (including aeronautics), until 2015 | Comments Off
EFP Brief No. 144: US Families 2025: Trends and Alternative Futures
Sunday, May 22nd, 2011In response to a call for papers on the future of feminism from Futures, the international scholarly journal of Futures Studies, an informal workshop was organized to explore changes to US families and how the roles of men, women and children might be influenced by such forces. The ‘US Families 2025’ workshop was conducted entirely on a volunteer basis and provided opportunity for both newcomers and experts in the field of futures studies to engage in foresight and futures methodology. The outcomes of the workshop were analysed from the perspective of futures literature and feminist theory to arrive at the article ‘US Families 2025: In Search of Future Families’ published in Futures issue number 40 (2008) for the purpose of broadening the insights to and interpretations of the future with particular regard for gender as it relates to roles within marriage, reproduction, childhood and parenting.
Tags: arts, cities, education, families, social change
Posted in brief, FP7 Themes, Geography, Health, National, Socio-economic sciences and the humanities, Time Horizon, until 2025, US | Comments Off
EFP Brief No. 111: Horizons 2020 – Mapping the Future of Society, Economy & Government
Friday, May 20th, 2011The report “Horizon 2020 – A thought-provoking look at the future” is a dialogue invitation rather than an attempt to provide another “traditional” strategic scenario very often aiming to lay out a roadmap for a predetermined outcome. The report in question differs from this approach in three respects. First, it aims at creating a basis for dialogue with the public at large. Second, it addresses a broad range of topics covering political, social, economical, environmental and technological issues. Third, the report offers two scenarios on the basis of an expert survey.
Tags: corporate, demography, education, health care, lifelong learning, roadmap, services, social change, sustainability, terrorism
Posted in brief, Environment (including climate change), FP7 Themes, Geography, Germany, Health, Nanosciences, nanotechnology, materials, new production technologies, National, Security, Socio-economic sciences and the humanities, Time Horizon, until 2020 | Comments Off
EFP Brief No. 106: City 2030 – Shaping the City of the Future Guiding Principles, Scenarios and Concepts
Friday, May 20th, 2011In the year 2000 the German Ministry of Education and Research initiated a programme inviting German cities to create principles and models for their long-term development. In cooperation with scientific institutions and experts, the cities were not only supposed to envisage possible or likely future scenarios, but also were asked to think about the goals they wanted to accomplish and criteria to evaluate their progress. All in all, the research network functioned as a research and learning laboratory. Not only cities participating in the exercises were able to profit from Cities 2030, but also cities and regions not participating in the programme benefited from the exchange of ideas and concepts.
Tags: cities, demographic change, education, factory, mobility, services, social change, sustainability
Posted in brief, Environment (including climate change), FP7 Themes, Geography, Germany, National, Socio-economic sciences and the humanities, Time Horizon, until 2030 | Comments Off
EFP Brief No. 101: Corporate Foresight in Small and Medium-Sized Enterprises
Friday, May 20th, 2011The objective of this research project is to identify the foresight requirements of German small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), their corporate foresight activities, to the extent that they exist, and limiting factors for systematic foresight approaches. To this end, an expert survey was conducted with SME decision-makers. Its purpose is to make executives more aware of the indispensability and the potential foresight offers in changing markets and business environments, and supporting them in their foresight approaches.
Tags: automotive, construction, corporate, education, IT, media, services, SME, social change, software
Posted in brief, Environment (including climate change), Food, agriculture and fisheries, biotechnology, FP7 Themes, Geography, Germany, Nanosciences, nanotechnology, materials, new production technologies, National, Security, Socio-economic sciences and the humanities, Time Horizon | Comments Off
EFP Brief No. 86: The Future of Design
Friday, May 20th, 2011New technologies will radically alter both the future of design and the design of the future. While design used to be a means in order to bring the very essence of given objects – mostly products, to the fore – “form follows function” -, bio-, nano- and information technologies will enable designers to interfere into the foundation of life and nature. In consequence, the possibility to design Bits, Atoms, Neurons, and Genes (BANG-Design) will trigger a convergence of design and science and lead to yet unknown ways to design objects and products.
Tags: cities, climate, converging technologies, media, sensors, social change, social science
Posted in brief, Environment (including climate change), Food, agriculture and fisheries, biotechnology, FP7 Themes, Geography, Global, Nanosciences, nanotechnology, materials, new production technologies, Security, Socio-economic sciences and the humanities, Time Horizon, until 2010 | Comments Off
EFP Brief No. 83: Cyprus 2013
Friday, May 20th, 2011The European Commission funded a co-operation project in the framework of the eForesee programme between Cyprus, Malta and Estonia. In this context a pilot exercise entitled “Knowledge management in solving agricultural problems in Cyprus” was conducted. Representatives from the wider public and semi public sector, agricultural organisations and other stakeholders involved in the agricultural process, attended various meetings in order to discuss and express suggestions or recommendations for the improvement of the background paper prepared by the Agricultural Research Institute of Cyprus – ARI eForesee team to facilitate discussions.
Tags: climate, construction, education, enlargement (EU), entertainment, natural resources, services, social change, sustainability, tourism
Posted in brief, Cyprus, Environment (including climate change), Food, agriculture and fisheries, biotechnology, FP7 Themes, Geography, Nanosciences, nanotechnology, materials, new production technologies, National, Time Horizon, until 2010 | Comments Off
EFP Brief No. 82: Corporate Foresight in Europe
Friday, May 20th, 2011Foresight activities usually aim at decision-making and priority setting in the public sectors of systems of innovation, while the other parts of the RTDI-system have been largely left out of picture: most notably all the entrepreneurial actors on the private side (who actually bring the innovations to the market. This EU-study has been launched to take a first look at the current uses, practices and impacts of foresight in the private sector. It is based on personal interviews with 18 selected European enterprises from hightechnology industries, consumer goods and the service sectors. A workshop, organized in November 2002 with the participation of corporate foresight practitioners, confirmed the overall findings of the report.
Tags: automotive, banking, corporate, social change, utilities
Posted in brief, Environment (including climate change), EU, FP7 Themes, Geography, Information and communication technologies (ICT), Socio-economic sciences and the humanities, Time Horizon, until 2010 | Comments Off
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