Posts Tagged ‘scenarios’

EFP Brief No. 219: Sustainable Urban Metabolism for Europe Planning Resource-Efficient Cities

Tuesday, June 26th, 2012

The Project SUME – Sustainable Urban Metabolism for Europe – analyses the relationship between urban form and urban metabolism in a long-term development perspective to 2050. Urban metabolism encompasses all flows of energy and material resources of a city or agglomeration while urban form describes the way cities are built in spatial terms. Two different spatial scenarios, the BASE scenario as a continuation of the current development and the SUME scenario as a path of sustainable spatial development, have been elaborated for seven European cities. These scenarios demonstrate a corridor of potential future demands in terms of land use and energy consumption.

EFP Brief No. 219_Sustainable Urban Metabolism for Europe

 

EFP Brief No. 210: The Netherlands of 2040

Tuesday, April 3rd, 2012

In this scenario study, we sketch the most important challenges for the Netherlands to remain an attractive place for business with high-quality production and a flexible labour market. The scenarios offer students, employees, companies and government guidance in preparing for the future. By definition, the future is uncertain and becomes more uncertain the further we look ahead. The scenarios for 2040 sketch four possible worlds based on two fundamental uncertainties: the size of cities and the division of labour in the workforce.

EFP Brief No. 210_Netherlands of 2040

EFP Brief No. 209: Future Forests Scenarios 2050 Possible Futures, Future Possibilities

Tuesday, April 3rd, 2012

This foresight brief summarises the findings of a scenario process on possible futures for Sweden’s forests and forest sector. The purpose of the process was to build interdisciplinary skills within the research programme Future Forests and to initiate discussions about the future with our stakeholders. A group of 21 researchers from different disciplines, ranging from the natural and social sciences to the humanities, took part in the process. Stakeholders and interest groups were involved in the initial steps and in discussions of the final scenarios. The process involved four steps: identifying external drivers, defining critical uncertainties to be discussed, developing the scenarios, and discussing implications with interest groups.

EFP Brief No. 209_Future Forests_Scenarios_2050

EFP Brief No. 208: Forecasting of Long-term Innovation Development in Russian Economic Sectors: Results, Lessons and Policy Conclusions

Saturday, March 17th, 2012

The exercise presented includes scenarios of key Russian economic sectors and determines necessary technologies in accordance with such scenarios. As key sectors, the foresight team investigated the energy, iron and nonferrous-metals industry, agriculture, the chemical industry and pharmaceutics, the aircraft industry, commercial shipbuilding and the information sector.

EFP Brief No. 208_Forecasting Innovation in Russian Economic Sectors

EFP Brief No. 206: Future Strategies for Ageing Management in the Working World of Salzburg Province

Wednesday, February 29th, 2012

The projected demographic change and the resulting necessity of a longer working life represent considerable challenges for (1) the individual quality of life and work of employees, (2) the innovative capacity and productivity of companies and (3) the negotiability of the welfare state. As its goal, the foresight project set out to analyse the concrete situation and development potential of the working world in the Province of Salzburg and depict the options for taking action at the micro-level (individual), meso-level (organisations) and macro-level (socio-political actors) in the form of scenarios. The project placed particular emphasis on transferring research results into practice.

EFP Brief No. 206_Future strategies for ageing management in Salzburg Province