Archive for the ‘Eventreport’ Category

Future of Cities Award 2014

Monday, July 7th, 2014

The Ljubljana Forum is looking for the most innovative good practices in the field of developing future of cities. The Selection Committee will confer three Ljubljana Forum Awards:

– for the best already implemented project
– for the best project, which is currently being implemented
– for the most visionary project idea.

The aim of the annual Ljubljana Forum Award is to identify, promote and reward innovative good practices in the field of developing the future of cities. The Selection Criteria therefore are:

The project/project idea contributes to the Europe 2020 strategy (in terms of promoting smart, sustainable and inclusive growth), following the European cohesion policy objectives.

The project/project idea contributes to the development of new jobs with high added value.

The project/project idea brings added value to the development of urban areas of the South-East Europe in terms of good practice & business model transfer.

The project/project idea promotes the meaning and the identity of Europe.

 

EFP Workshop ‘Future of Cultural Heritage’

Friday, December 21st, 2012

Cultural heritage is important for both society and economy. It contributes to forming
an individual and collective identity, supports improving social and territorial cohesion, is of great economic importance for the tourism industry, and has potential for defining new types of artistic careers.  This importance for society and economydemands a better protection, promotion and use of the European cultural heritage. Europe’s cultural heritage is a fragile resource and exposed to many threats such as climate change and pollution, but also to increasing urbanization and negligence. At the same time, the way of thinking about cultural
heritage is evolving and the way cultural heritage is developed, appropriated, enriched, promoted and transmitted is also changing. As an example, sources of cultural heritage are increasingly preserved and transmitted digitally and online, offering new ways of sharing, analyzing and presenting cultural heritage. Another development is the increase in digital-born heritage, which includes artistic and cultural forms of expression that are only created
digitally (e.g. e-culture). In addition, the general public is becoming a more prominent stakeholder in presenting and sharing cultural heritage collections.

Despite these dynamics in cultural heritage, thinking about the future of cultural heritage is not wide-spread. Maybe it is because of the contradiction between the retrospective nature of cultural heritage and the prospective nature of foresight and future studies. Nevertheless, future perspectives on relevant trends and drivers of change that may impact upon cultural heritage in Europe in the coming decades can support strategic thinking in cultural heritage
management including preservation, promotion and use of cultural heritage sources.

The European Foresight Platform organized a workshop to contribute to applying a future perspective on cultural heritage. In this workshop trends and drivers of change that may impact upon cultural heritage have been identified, using the STEEP structure (Society, Technology, Economy, Ecology and Policy). In addition, the type of impact these trends and drivers may have on the development, managemen, preservation, promotion, use, and funding of cultural heritage have been discussed. Moreover, the discussion has focused on the challenges, needs, options and questions for research following from these impacts. The outcomes of this workshop will be offered to stakeholders dealing with cultural heritage, including European and national policy makers, programming initiatives, agencies, institutes and research councils as inspiration to their strategic research agendas.

Documents and presentations:

Welcome slides.

Presentation by Domenico Rossetti, DG RTD.

Presentation by Dirk van Delft,  Museum Boerhaave.

Presentation by Riel Miller, UNESCO Foresight Unit.

Presentation on STEEP approach.

EFP Workshop_Future of Cultural Heritage paper.

EFP Cultural Heritage Background Paper.

 

EFP Final Event “Forward Looking Activities Governing Grand Challenges”

Tuesday, June 26th, 2012
The European Foresight Platform (EFP) invited to the EFP Final Event “Forward Looking Activities Governing Grand Challenges”
September 27–28, 2012, Vienna, In Cooperation with the Institut Français Vienne

Program

DAY 1

12.00 Welcoming Lunch
13.00 Welcome, Guillaume Rousson (IFV), Perla Srour-Gandon (European Commission)
13.15 Intro to the conference Susanne Giesecke, AIT
13.30
Roundtable I: The Role of Forward Looking Activities for Governing Transitions
Discussion with experts across sectors and regions
Chair: Matthias Weber (AIT, Austria)
Grand Challenges – what are they, how can they be defined?
Grand Challenges at EFP Annelieke v.d. Giessen (TNO, Netherlands)/Susanne Giesecke (AIT, Austria)
The VERA project Philine Warnke (FhG-ISI)
EU approach to Grand Challenges and the transformation of the European Society – Active and healthy aging: the interdependence between national RTI priority setting and Grand Challenges at EU level.
How to shape Foresight to influence actor behavior? Katharina Jarmai (AIT, Austria)
The case of the UK, Ian Miles  (UniMan, UK)
The case of Finland, Totti Könnölä (Impetu Solutions, Spain/Finland)
15.30 Coffee break
15.45 Roundtable 1 continued: Looking beyond Europe Is there a global perspective? Chair: Fabiana Scapolo (IPTS)
Australia: Ron Johnston  (Australian Center for Innovation)
India: Rakesh Kapoor (Alternative Futures)
– UNESCO (Linda Tinio)
17.45
Rapporteurs‘ Summary
18.15
End of day I
19.00
Networking Dinner at the “Unibräu” Altes AKH, Alser Straße 4, 1090 Wien

DAY 2

9.00 Keynote : Is there a feminist view on the future? Marie-Anne Delahaut, (Millennia2015, The Destree Institute, Belgium)
09.45 Parallel Session 1: Wither FLA? Academic discipline or leadership art?
Chair and impulse: Ruben Nelson (Foresight Canada)
Juha Kaskinen (FFRC Turku, Finland),
Peter Bishop (University of Houston, USA),
09.45 Parallel Session 2: “Forward Looking Activities as a mediator between science, society and policy making” chair: Nicolas de Menthière, (IRSTEA, Prosper network, France):
“From brainstorming to concrete policy: a foresight analysis applied to marine renewable energy in France”, Denis Lacroix (IFREMER, Prosper network, France)
“Roadmap as an instrument in forward-looking innovation policy design – case examples” Torsti Loikkanen (VTT, Finland)
– “Foresight as a mediation tool for framing issues between sciences and society : some lessons from Landes of Gascogny 2050″ Olivier Mora (INRA, Prosper network, France)
– “Measuring foresight impacts” Jack Smith (Ottawa University, Canada)
11.45 Coffee break
12.00 Plenary session: Rapporteurs‘ summary
12.20 EFP: Looking back and looking forward
Farewell and lunch
12.45 Perspectives on EU forward-looking activities Perla Srour-Gandon (European Commission)
14.00 End of part I of the conference
14.00-16.00 Part II –Part II – Young Researcher‘s Session: PhD and Master students present their work on FLA related research (Petcha Kutcha, Prezi, Poster presentations etc. welcome)
Peter Bishop (University of Houston), Peter Biegelbauer (AIT), Ron Johnston (Australian Center for Innovation), Philine Warnke (FhG ISI), Fabiana Scapolo (JRC), Ruben Nelson (Foresight Canada) as Senior Commentators
for more information klick  here
16.00 End

Download

Gallery

Future Day of the Bertelsmann Stiftung

Friday, June 15th, 2012

On Monday 2 July at the Kalkscheune in Berlin the team of the Bertelsmann Stiftung gathered an international group of scholars, journalists, activists and bloggers for the first in a series of international Future Days. Organized with support from the Rockefeller Foundation, the series of Future Days provideed a platform for discussing the biggest challenges that we are facing locally and as a global community. The outcome of the meeting lined out the dynamic and creative solutions to global challenges.

The first event was centerd around the trend of demographic change. Not just locally but worldwide, demographic change is reshaping our world faster than we can react to it.

A substantial portion of the day was devoted to networking and to meet new colleagues and collaborators from around the globe.

Registration: http://goo.gl/ucHSx

Please email tom.fries@bertelsmann-stiftung.de or anneliese.guess@bfna.org with any questions.

TA Conference: “Technology Assessment and Policy Areas of Great Transitions”

Tuesday, June 5th, 2012

The European TA Conference: “Technology Assessment and Policy Areas of Great Transitions” will take place in Prague, Czech Republic from 13 to 15 March 2013. The conference addresses not only technology assessment but also related fields, such as foresight, science and technology studies, research on the ethical, legal and societal aspects of technology.

The conference is part of the PACITA Parliaments and civil society in Technology Assessment project financed by the EU in its 7th framework programme.

PACITA Project Website

EFP Policy Workshop ‘Smart Mobility 2050: Human centred Vision and long-term Horizon’

Tuesday, March 27th, 2012

Update: the final paper based on the background paper and workshop outcomes is available: EFP Smart Mobility Workshop – final paper.

The European Foresight Platform (EFP) organized a policy workshop ‘Future of Smart Mobility 2050: a Human-centred Vision’, which took place on the 12th of June in Brussels. In this workshop, foresight and mobility experts and European policy makers discussed the possible impacts of long-term smart mobility futures, and what this means for European policy. Presentations and background note are now available!

Background

Mobility and Transport are fundamental and vital for economies and societies at large. For Europe, efficient and sustainable transportation and mobility are essential for participating in the world economy and sustaining growth and prosperity. Transport and mobility have grown substantially over the past decades, facilitated by relatively low fuel prices, improving infrastructures and a lack of curtailing environmental constraints.
Nevertheless, it is widely acknowledged that transport and mobility can no longer grow on the same path and with the same pace without serious environmental, social and economic consequences. As stated by the European Commission in the Transport 2050 Whitepaper (Roadmap to a Single European Transport Area), European mobility and transportation is facing a number of severe challenges:

  • CO2 emissions from transport are still growing- despite more energy-efficient vehicles- with further increasing mobility and transport demand
  • Transport is extremely dependent upon fossil fuels, while crude oil will become more scarce and expensive
  • Rising levels of congestion with growing mobility and transport demand
  • The European transport industries are facing growing competition from other world regions where transport modernization and infrastructure investment
    programmes are being developed and transport technologies are innovated.

The European Commission developed a new vision, strategy and a long term agenda including policy measures for addressing these issues. The strategy includes many different policy directions, from developing a single European transport area, to promoting the safety and security of the transport system, to investing in a connected trans-European transport network and coordinating infrastructure pricing and taxation systems at the national and regional level. Also part of this strategy is stimulating innovation, both in terms of technology and mobility and transport services.

A central concept in transport and mobility visions is smart mobility. Mobility and transportation is involving not alone travelling and transport, but also the related decision why and how to move or ship   for example to choose  alternatives  such as virtual presence or electronic posting. Smart mobility, in turn, involves both making transport systems intelligent through the use of ICT and the possibilities that advanced ICT offers in the decision making on why or how to travel or transport. Smart mobility is not an end in itself, but rather a means to answer the challenge of an European transport system that is
resource-efficient, environmentally-friendly, safe and seamless across all transport modes for the benefit of citizens, the economy and society.

Moreover, smart mobility is not isolated from other domains where the use of ICT can contribute to answering societal challenges. Smart mobility is for example inextricably bound up with other “smart” developments, including smart cities (in which building knowledge communication and social infrastructure is central), smart working (ICT enabling changing, flexible working situations) and smart living (ICT saturating the living environment). In the transport sector the term “smart” is bound to a shift from car use and ownership to more service oriented mobility at least in urban areas.

Many of the road maps, action plans and research priorities focus on realizing future technological solutions and service innovations for challenges that are presently recognized (like those described in the EC Transport Whitepaper). However, the addressed solutions often have a strictly technological focus. Visions on smart mobility and transportation would benefit from a thorough discussion on alternative opportunities which are at present not easily recognized. Such a discussion should incorporate a broad
view on the impact of these opportunities on the lives of individuals and the European society at large.

The European Foresight Platform (EFP) organizes this workshop to discuss in more detail a selection of future visions on smart mobility and transportation in a long-term perspective. The focus of this discussion will be on the consequences  of these visions on the lives of individuals and the European society in 2050. The overall aim is to translate these
far-horizon visions into more detailed implications and requirements for mobility and transport policy making. In more detail, the aims are:

  • to sketch a range of future visions on smart mobility based on the latest insights that resulted from foresight and forward-looking activities in the mobility and transport domain and in society at large;
  • to explore new views on potential developments in smart mobility and transport taking a human-centred perspective;
  • to discuss credibility, feasibility of these visions and to identify the main drivers and barriers for developing towards these visions;
  • and to suggest policy implications and requirements for dealing with the drivers and barriers.

Download background paper incorporating the workshop results:
EFP Smart Mobility Workshop – final paper

A agenda is available:
EFP Workshop Smart Mobility 2012 agenda

Download presentations:

Four future visions smart mobility

EFP-Smart mobility 2050_Domenico Rossetti

smart_mobility_presentation_Claus Seibt

Policy context of smart mobility_Andras Siegler

Final Conference of the FESTOS project

Thursday, December 22nd, 2011

On the 8th of December the final conference of the FP7 FESTOS project (Forsight of Evolving Security threats Posed by Emerging Technologies) took place in Brussels. (More information about the FESTOS project can be found on the project homepage: http://www.festos.org/.)

As mentioned in the project description, in FESTOS it was planned to identify and assess evolving security threats posed by the abuse or inadequate use of emerging technologies and new scientific knowledge, which basically means to do research on the dark side of technology. The workshop with the topic “Technology Foresight: Security Threats and Responses” was structured in three sessions, based on the main FESTOS objectives,

  • identification of future security threats posed by emerging technologies
  • presentation of narrative scenarios
  • assessment of the need for knowledge control
  • and evaluation of policy measures to cope with the threats

At the conference some nice weak signals for upcomming possible threats, caused by emerging technologies were presented. Sorted by the time of sufficient maturity, these are the weak signals:

2012

Smartphone technologies mash-ups
“New mobile phones could enable “open source intelligence” to be carried out discretely and without any special equipment. A smartphone with video camera and GPS device can can enable terrorists or criminals to easily collect location-based video imagery of possible target areas. New combinations with advanced augmented reality and other features could be even more useful for planning and executing malicious actions.” [FESTOS Alert Report, 2011]
Time of sufficient maturity: 2012; Easiness of abuse: 3.7; Threat severity: 3.5

Cloud Computing
“As private and public organisations are handing storage and other tasks to outside providers, new opportunities arise for hacking and cyber-attacks.” [FESTOS Alert Report, 2011]
Time of sufficient maturity: 2012; Easiness of abuse: 3.3; Threat severity: 3.5

2018

Internet of Things
Experts have warned that the security risks of the internet of things are first of all related to privacy issues.” However even a simple act of shutting down important IoT services by terrorists, might create chaos.[FESTOS Alert Report, 2011]
Time of sufficient maturity: 2018; Easiness of abuse: 3.6; Threat severity: 3.5

Synthetic Biology
“Such technologies in wrong hands could facilitate production of current and new biological warfare agents, without special need of large biotech production facilities. Engeniered organisms could be released into the enviroment with orders to attack.” [FESTOS Alert Report, 2011]
Time of sufficient maturity: 2018; Easiness of abuse: 3.2; Threat severity: 3.4

2023

Cyborg Insects
Cyborg insects, controlled through neuro-implants, “could be used by perpetrators for harming people, spying or other malicious activities. Swarms of such insects could be directed at agricultural areas for harmful purposes, e.g. to damage crops.” [FESTOS Alert Report, 2011]
Time of sufficient maturity: 2023; Easiness of abuse: 3.3; Threat severity: 3.1

Molecular Manufacturing
“Molecular manufacturing could be used to create new hazardous materials, or new types of weapons. If versatile and sufficiently small nanofactories are developed, such items could be created anytime anywhere, including in sensitive locations places where no weapons are allowed.” [FESTOS Alert Report, 2011]
Time of sufficient maturity: 2023; Easiness of abuse: 2.5; Threat severity: 2.5

2030

Swarm Robotics
“Robot swarms may pose a threat in the future, if the self adaption and self-reprogramming are employed for malitious behaviour of the swarm. They could perform new kinds of coordinated attacks in which for example each robot carries a small dose of explosives, combined together to cause a large damage.” [FESTOS Alert Report, 2011]
Time of sufficient maturity: 2030; Easiness of abuse: 2.9; Threat severity: 3

Programmable Matter
“Programmable matter can provide a perfect camouflage of any object, e.g. in areas where weapons are prohibited.” [FESTOS Alert Report, 2011]
Time of sufficient maturity: 2030; Easiness of abuse: 2.3; Threat severity: 2.8

Self-replicating Nano-assemblers
Self-replicating may include certain dangourges. “While uncontroled runaway replication is considered by experts as highly unlikely and can be prevented by appropriate safeguards, one can not preclude intentional malicous design of such devices for wrong doings.” [FESTOS Alert Report, 2011]
Time of sufficient maturity: 2030; Easiness of abuse: 2.75; Threat severity: 2.9

Nanotechnology-enabled Brain Implants
Brain implants could be used for thought- or behavioural-control of humans. Brainwashed people can cause social unrests, violence, etc. . Terrorists might use this technic to get “super mental power”. [FESTOS Alert Report, 2011]
Time of sufficient maturity: 2030; Easiness of abuse: 2.7; Threat severity: 3

In Session 1 the overall results of the project about the sources of future security threats were discussed. As a selection of specific results, Aharon Hauptman did talk about “Technology horizon scanning – emerging technologies and future threats” and Roman Peperhove presented his results on possible “Cyber-Insects attacks”. A more in detail list of these results is available on the project home page.

Session 2 was more about the epistemic and ethical implication of the project with a discussion about the “Freedom of knowledge in the era of emerging technologies”. Ewa Rokicka and Tal Soffer had their presentation about “The knowledge control dilemma” and in an enlightening panel discussion the drawbacks between scientific freedom of speech and security needs of society were discussed. On the on hand, it is necessary to do research about the dark side of technology.

Finally in Session 3 the policy implication were discussed with insights into how to prepare for future threats. Burkhard Auffermann had a presentation about “Coping with the threats: FESTOS policy recommendations and after some presentations about cyber security, as an example for a “not so new” thread alert, a wide range of national policy perspectives were discussed and examples of policy implementations due to FESTOS results were mentioned.

So the overall impression of the final conference was, that there are quite some valuable results and the direction of research is important to increase the resilience of our society. We wish the FESTOS Consortium good luck in their FESTOS 2 proposal.

Jari Kaivo-oja, a Foresight specialist in the FESTOS Consortium has graciously agreed to write a brief about FESTOS later on, which you will find then in the brief section of EFP.

Report on foresight conference in Astana (Kazakhstan), 5-6 December 2011

Wednesday, December 21st, 2011

“Foresight a Way to View the Future”

A conference under the theme of “Foresight a Way to View the Future” was organized in Astana as part of the Innovation Forum devoted to the 20th anniversary of Independence of the Republic of Kazakhstan. The Innovation Forum, which was opened by the Prime Minister of the Republic of Kazakhstan, Mr. Karim Masimov had the main objective to summarise the industrial and innovative development of Kasakhstan throughout the 20 years of its independence and to provide a platform for dialogue on prospective directions of innovative development of the country in the long run.

The Forum brought together representatives of government agencies, international agencies, Kazakhstani business, international partners, as well as existing and potential foreign partners for future collaborations.

Several events were hosted in the framework of the Innovation Forum: The first meeting of the Presidential Innovations Club, which was opened by the President of the Republic of Kazakhstan H. E. Mr. Nursultan Nazarbayev, the Lean Technologies Conference, a Commercialisation Conference, the Foresight Conference, an Innovative Projects Exhibition and a Youth Debate Tournament on Innovations.

The Foresight Conference provided the opportunity to discuss preliminary results of the first Science and Technology Foresight in Kasakhstan in 2010 and 2011 with leading international institutions in the planning and orientation of government science and technology policies and the promotion of policy related foresight research that have experience in the establishment of National Foresight Programmes in a diversity of country contexts, such as the Korea Institute of Science and Technology Evaluation and Planning (KISTEP), the Japanese National Institute of Science and Technology Policy (NISTEP), the Manchester Institute of Innovation Research (MIOIR), the United National Industrial Development Organisation (UNIDO) and the Austrian Institute of Technology (AIT). Taking into account the high importance attributed to the role of foresight in shaping the strategies to underpin Kazakhstan’s future industrial development, the organizers of the conference highly appreciated the presentation of the European Experience in Foresight Research that was held by AIT. The long list of European foresight initiatives, in which AIT continues to play a leading role have been imperative for the evolution of national and European S&T policy frameworks. The presentation of the European Foresight Platform (EFP) and the INFU project, which provides insights on new innovation patterns, such as open innovations, that will become widely diffused in the future provided a new understanding from a European perspective how foresight may be employed as a strategic tool to achieve a better understanding of plausible long-term scenarios for changing innovation processes and configurations and their implications for society and economy in the context of Kazakhstan’s future industrial development.

Report on iKnow conference in Brussels, 27-28 October 2011

Wednesday, December 21st, 2011

“Towards a Strategic Issue Management System for Science, Technology and Innovation”

During the 27th and 28th of October, the iKnow project organized its final conference in Brussels under the theme “Towards a Strategic Issue Management System for Science, Technology and Innovation”. During the conference, new methods and tolls developed by iKnow to support foresight, horizon scanning and forward-looking activities (FLAs) were presented to a mixed audience of stakeholders from different academic and practitioner communities. The main objective of the conference was to launch the key recommendations and outcomes from the project that have wider applications to the European Research Area and many related future-oriented activities. The activities from a half-dozen workshops , over 60 interviews, large scale-Delphi surveys, systematic horizon scanning of over 1,000 ERA-relevant issues, the Practical Guide on Wild Cards and Weak Signals as well as the ERA toolkit were presented to a targeted audience that included supranational, national and sub-national actors involved in research and innovation policy shaping, risk analysis and strategic planning.

The thematic and methodological synergies between the European Foresight Platform (EFP) and the iKnow project, such as the development of the mapping framework, were presented during a panel session on the theme “Optimising Research and Collaboration Agendas”.

In sum, the final conference of the iKnow project was a good occasion to address the key issues underpinning the support activities carried out in the framework of the EFP project to a broad audience of interested stakeholders. The participation of the EFP in this conference was highly appreciated by the organizers of the iKnow conference and it offered a variety of interesting information relevant to the EFP as well as several opportunities for future collaboration of the EFP with a diversity of international foresight networks.

EFP Review Meeting, Seville 11 May 2011

Tuesday, November 22nd, 2011

The purpose of the EFP Review Meeting was to discuss the methodological approach of EFP in providing foresight information and support to policy makers and practitioners. In addition, the aim was to refine the various policy support approaches and to review the first policy workshops in order to draw conclusions for the subsequent implementation.

Please visit the EFP Forum on EFP Policy Support Approaches to discuss this topic.

Download the meeting documents and presentations here:

Agenda 11 May 2011

Minutes EFP Review Meeting

Introduction

EFP Current Status Update

EFP Policy Workshops

EFP Policy Support

EFP Policy Support Approaches