Archive for the ‘brief’ Category

EFP Brief No. 263: The Future of Aging in Upper Austria

Thursday, September 1st, 2016

The foresight study aimed at exploring what technological solutions and social innovations for ambient assisted living (AAL) can offer widest coverage in a demographically-challenged rural area such as the Mühlviertler Alm (Upper Austria). To increase the acceptance of the identified findings among the local population and the success of the implementation of the AAL solutions in a potential follow-up project (e.g. as a model test region), strong emphasis was put on the integration of potential users and other stakeholders throughout the whole study.

Download EFP Brief No. 263: The Future of Aging in Upper Austria

The world is changing.   Are you ready?   We are.

Wednesday, February 26th, 2014

This Strategic Foresight program is offered as a 5-day, project-based, face-to-face workshop at the University of Huston in partnership with The Destree Institute. The university has a 35 years experiance of educating foresight professionnals and offers you the Houston University Certificate in Strategic Foresight at the end of the process.

Participants learn to anticipate disruptive change and work towards the creation of transformational change, in order to influence the future of their organizations, companies and communities. Participants will receive 4 CEUs for attending, and can obtain the certificate if they complete a project within a given number of weeks after the program delivery.  

Providing professionals with tools to help navigate today’s constantly changing business environment and create a positive future for their communities, regions, enterprises and themselves.

For questions about the content please contact Dr. Peter Bishop and for questions about registration form or logistics Jonathan Collin.



The Future of Urban Mobility

Tuesday, January 7th, 2014

Efficient transportation and mobility are essential to make a city competitive and appealing. Current business models offer alternative and new mobility solutions, such as car or bicycle sharing and new leasing mobility offerings, electric vehicles, autonomous driving, talking cars, micro mobility or integrated mobility.

What future impact have key global mega trends on Urban Mobility?
What are the major challenges in balancing economic needs and environmental policies?
What role can innovation play or what innovation is needed?



Wim Korver will speak about the end of the car mobility as we know it in the 21 century. Car use growth is coming to a hold and in several western countries it is even decreasing, especially among younger age groups. With new urban mobility concepts the question arises: Are we experiencing the end of car mobility?

Robert Dingemanse will discuss how flying cars will affect future mobility. This dream exists since the car was developed. What has changed and how will its arrival within the next years and the start of a new industry change mobility?

Nick Cohn will speak about TomTom on Urban Mobility. The adoption of navigation by millions of travelers worldwide was the first step. The second step is the development and use of real-time information about travel conditions. A vehicle- or traveler-based information system can help cities make better use of infrastructure while providing trip advice.

Rohit Talwar examines Global Forces Shaping Urban Mobility. What are the critical scientific, technological, economic and environmental developments and challenges that could have a direct impact on business models, physical infrastructures and social mechanisms in the next forty years?
For further information and registration visit the website of the Club of Amsterdam.

International Futures Conference

Monday, January 28th, 2013

8th Pan-European Conference on International Relations

One International Relations or Many? Multiple Worlds, Multiple Crises
Warsaw, 18-21 September 2013,
Call for Panel and Paper Proposals in “International Futures” Section

Section synopsis:
Political and economic developments of the recent years have effectively disturbed the comfortable assumptions about stable and predictable future. In a world of complexity and uncertainty, leaders in governments and in business are being increasingly compelled to incorporate a forward thinking approach when taking decisions. Traditional forecasting methods based on trend extrapolation too often fail to provide a viable basis for strategic decision making. Policy planners and decision makers must learn the art of projecting radically different futures in order to be well prepared to confront them. In the reality of information overflow the winners are not the ones who gather most information but the ones that consciously filter and analyse it. Future studies in international relations focus exactly on that – on improving the capacity of strategists and policymakers to see future opportunities and risks and on providing tools to help them take concrete steps that will increase organisation’s or country’s resilience and competitiveness in the future. The section offers a space for reflection and discussion about key dimensions of uncertainty in the international relations and about the methods of embracing uncertainty in a systematic fashion. It may also be a place to debate how International Relations as a discipline might look like in the future. The section will consist of 5 panels. Each 105-minute panel should comprise four to five papers plus discussant and chair.
Further inquiries – please contact Section Chair, dr Michał Nowosielski (Institute for Western Affairs, Poland), email:
Please submit your paper proposals and panel proposals via:
Deadline: 24 February 2013

Futures Workshop "Urban Freight 2050: a systemic vision to urban freight logistics futures"

Thursday, December 6th, 2012

The European Foresight Platform (EFP) and partners kindly invites you to
participate in a policy workshop „Urban Freight 2050: a systemic vision to
urban freight logistics futures“, which will take place the 17th of December in Vienna, Austria. The Workshop will be hosted by the Federal State Agency AustriaTech and the AIT Foresight and Policy Development Department (AIT F&PD). The workshop will be organized cooperatively among TNO, AIT and AustriaTech and will be
supported by the Austrian Ministry of Transport, Innovation and Technology

Transport and logistics are fundamental for economic development, growth and prosperity
of regions and urban environments worldwide. For Europe, efficient and
sustainable freight transport and logistics action are essential for participating competitively in the world economy and further maintaining a high
quality of provision for European industries and end-consumers. As stated by
the European Commission in the Transport 2050 White-paper (Roadmap to a Single
European Transport Area)  the European transport sector is facing a number
of challenges:

–  CO2 emissions from transport are still growing, despite cleaner vehicles,

–  transport is extremely dependent upon oil, while oil will becomes scarcer and
more expensive,

–  rising levels of congestion, while demand for mobility particularly for freight
transport is growing,

–  the European transport sector faces  a growing competition from other world

–  the European transport sector has to tranform into a ressource-efficient and
sustainable area of provision for achieving the CO2 reduction targets commited by the European Community.

Most of the road maps, action plans and research priorities  focus on realizing future
technological solutions and service innovations for challenges recognized
today. These solutions have a strong todays technological and innovation focus and do in our opinion not sufficiently envison potential trends and developments in a farer distant
perspective. Todays visions on smart and intelligent, green and ressource efficent and safe and secure freight transport and matiblegame logistics would benefit from a thorough discussion on potential alternative futures, which are not easily to recognize from a present perspective. In this EFP futures workshop we will discuss from a systemic point of view potential futures for urban freight transport and logistics against the background of maybe different socio-economic futures. The discussion is structured by the use of provocative sketches of potential socio-economic futures framing transport and logistics in 2050.

The goals of this futures workshop are:

•   to specify a range of future visions on urban freight transport and logistics
based on the latest insights from forward-looking activities in general
and in the transport  domain;

•   to explore new views on developments in urban freight transport and logistics
against the background of different farhorizon future visions bringing in
alternative perspectives;

•   to discuss credibility, feasibility as well as the main drivers and barriers
towards these futures and the uptake of potential technological and service
innovations in these context;

•   and to suggest implications and requirements for policy action and measures
taking into account a long term perspective and with that a range of
alternative and visionary scenarios.

You are kindly invited to participate in this workshop and to bring your expertise and
experience into the discussion. A detailed agenda for this one day workshop
will follow Monday next week.

You can notify interest and register for the urban freight futures workshop by sending
name and contact details to Ms. Beatrice Rath

Future of Cultural Heritage

Tuesday, December 4th, 2012

The European Foresight Platform organizes a workshop to contribute to applying a
future perspective on cultural heritage
. Cultural heritage is important for both
society and economy. Cultural heritage is defined by what people consider
nowadays as of cultural importance because of personal, social, political and
economic reasons. Cultural heritage includes all that is preserved  and
therefore becomes part of our individual and collective memory. Cultural
heritage is not fixed, but is dynamic in a changing world.  Cultural
heritage provides memory and a retrospective on past developments and
achievements, but offers also a reflection on our identity nowadays as well as
a source of inspiration for the future. Moreover, it  supports improving
social and territorial cohesion, is of great economic importance for the
tourism industry, has potential for defining new types of artistic careers, and
so on.

Europe’s cultural heritage is a fragile resource and exposed to many threats such as
climate change and pollution, but also to increasing urbanization and
negligence. At the same time, the way of thinking about cultural heritage is
evolving and the way cultural heritage is developed, appropriated, enriched,
promoted and transmitted is also changing.

Despite these dynamics in cultural heritage, thinking about the future of cultural
heritage is not wide-spread. Maybe it is because of the contradiction between
the retrospective nature of cultural heritage and the prospective nature of
foresight and future studies. Nevertheless, future perspectives on relevant
trends and drivers of change that may impact upon cultural heritage in Europe
in the coming decades can support strategic thinking in cultural heritage
management including preservation, promotion and use of cultural heritage

The European Foresight Platform organizes a workshop to contribute to applying a
future perspective on cultural heritage. In this workshop trends and drivers of
change that may impact upon cultural heritage will be identified, using the
STEEP structure (Society, Technology, Economy, Ecology and Policy). In
addition, the potential type of impact of these trends and drivers on the
creation, management, preservation, promotion, use, and funding of cultural
heritage will be discussed. The outcomes of this workshop will be offered to
stakeholders dealing with cultural heritage, including European and national
policy makers, programming initiatives, agencies, institutes and research
councils as inspiration to their strategic research agendas.

You are kindly invited to participate in this workshop and to bring your expertise and
experiences into the discussions. Please find attached a draft agenda for this
workshop. You can register for this workshop by sending your name and contact
details to Annelieke van der Giessen,

EFP Policy Workshop ‘Smart Mobility 2050: Human centred Vision and long-term Horizon’

Tuesday, March 27th, 2012

Update: the final paper based on the background paper and workshop outcomes is available: EFP Smart Mobility Workshop – final paper.

The European Foresight Platform (EFP) organized a policy workshop ‘Future of Smart Mobility 2050: a Human-centred Vision’, which took place on the 12th of June in Brussels. In this workshop, foresight and mobility experts and European policy makers discussed the possible impacts of long-term smart mobility futures, and what this means for European policy. Presentations and background note are now available!


Mobility and Transport are fundamental and vital for economies and societies at large. For Europe, efficient and sustainable transportation and mobility are essential for participating in the world economy and sustaining growth and prosperity. Transport and mobility have grown substantially over the past decades, facilitated by relatively low fuel prices, improving infrastructures and a lack of curtailing environmental constraints.
Nevertheless, it is widely acknowledged that transport and mobility can no longer grow on the same path and with the same pace without serious environmental, social and economic consequences. As stated by the European Commission in the Transport 2050 Whitepaper (Roadmap to a Single European Transport Area), European mobility and transportation is facing a number of severe challenges:

  • CO2 emissions from transport are still growing- despite more energy-efficient vehicles- with further increasing mobility and transport demand
  • Transport is extremely dependent upon fossil fuels, while crude oil will become more scarce and expensive
  • Rising levels of congestion with growing mobility and transport demand
  • The European transport industries are facing growing competition from other world regions where transport modernization and infrastructure investment
    programmes are being developed and transport technologies are innovated.

The European Commission developed a new vision, strategy and a long term agenda including policy measures for addressing these issues. The strategy includes many different policy directions, from developing a single European transport area, to promoting the safety and security of the transport system, to investing in a connected trans-European transport network and coordinating infrastructure pricing and taxation systems at the national and regional level. Also part of this strategy is stimulating innovation, both in terms of technology and mobility and transport services.

A central concept in transport and mobility visions is smart mobility. Mobility and transportation is involving not alone travelling and transport, but also the related decision why and how to move or ship   for example to choose  alternatives  such as virtual presence or electronic posting. Smart mobility, in turn, involves both making transport systems intelligent through the use of ICT and the possibilities that advanced ICT offers in the decision making on why or how to travel or transport. Smart mobility is not an end in itself, but rather a means to answer the challenge of an European transport system that is
resource-efficient, environmentally-friendly, safe and seamless across all transport modes for the benefit of citizens, the economy and society.

Moreover, smart mobility is not isolated from other domains where the use of ICT can contribute to answering societal challenges. Smart mobility is for example inextricably bound up with other “smart” developments, including smart cities (in which building knowledge communication and social infrastructure is central), smart working (ICT enabling changing, flexible working situations) and smart living (ICT saturating the living environment). In the transport sector the term “smart” is bound to a shift from car use and ownership to more service oriented mobility at least in urban areas.

Many of the road maps, action plans and research priorities focus on realizing future technological solutions and service innovations for challenges that are presently recognized (like those described in the EC Transport Whitepaper). However, the addressed solutions often have a strictly technological focus. Visions on smart mobility and transportation would benefit from a thorough discussion on alternative opportunities which are at present not easily recognized. Such a discussion should incorporate a broad
view on the impact of these opportunities on the lives of individuals and the European society at large.

The European Foresight Platform (EFP) organizes this workshop to discuss in more detail a selection of future visions on smart mobility and transportation in a long-term perspective. The focus of this discussion will be on the consequences  of these visions on the lives of individuals and the European society in 2050. The overall aim is to translate these
far-horizon visions into more detailed implications and requirements for mobility and transport policy making. In more detail, the aims are:

  • to sketch a range of future visions on smart mobility based on the latest insights that resulted from foresight and forward-looking activities in the mobility and transport domain and in society at large;
  • to explore new views on potential developments in smart mobility and transport taking a human-centred perspective;
  • to discuss credibility, feasibility of these visions and to identify the main drivers and barriers for developing towards these visions;
  • and to suggest policy implications and requirements for dealing with the drivers and barriers.

Download background paper incorporating the workshop results:
EFP Smart Mobility Workshop – final paper

A agenda is available:
EFP Workshop Smart Mobility 2012 agenda

Download presentations:

Four future visions smart mobility

EFP-Smart mobility 2050_Domenico Rossetti

smart_mobility_presentation_Claus Seibt

Policy context of smart mobility_Andras Siegler

EFP Brief No. 179: Facing the Future: Time for the EU to Meet Global Challenges

Friday, December 3rd, 2010

The aim of this project is to provide a comprehensive picture of the main trends ahead and possible future disruptive global challenges, and to examine how the EU could position itself to take an active role in shaping a response to them. The work described in the final report contributes with a fresh perspective on the future, linking widely accepted quantified trends towards 2025 and

beyond with the opinions of experts and policy makers on the likely consequences of these trends and wild cards. This work has been undertaken in cooperation with the Bureau of European Policy Advisors of the European Commission.

EFP Brief No. 179_Facing the future


EFP Brief No. 174: The German BMBF Foresight Process

Wednesday, November 10th, 2010

In September 2007, the Federal German Ministry for Education and Research (BMBF) launched a foresight process in order to sustain Germany’s status as a research and education location. The BMBF Foresight Process aimed at 1) identifying new focuses in research and technology, 2) designating areas for cross-cutting activities, 3) exploring fields for strategic partnerships, and 4) deriving priorities for R&D policy.

“The BMBF Foresight Process”, subtitled

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“Implementation and Further Development of a Foresight Process”, started by assessing present-day science and technology and was broadened to look into the future over the next 10 to 15 years – and even further. It took into account the developments at the national as well as international level.

EFP Brief No. 174_German BMBF Foresight


EFP Brief No. 173: Norwegian National Research Foresight: Case Study of an ICT Foresight Project

Wednesday, November 10th, 2010

The brief presents results from a case study of a foresight project conducted by the Research Council of Norway in the field of information and communication technology (ICT) in 2004. The main aim of the foresight project was to provide insight into the challenges facing Norwegian ICT research in 2015.

In autumn of 2002, the Research Council of Norway (RCN) launched a comprehensive foresight project as a response to an international ev

aluation of the Research Council. The evaluation had recommended launching a foresight process to initiate a “wider than normal debate about priorities and empower more parts of society in relation to the national research agenda” (Arnold et al. 2001).

EFP Brief No. 173_Norwegian National Research Foresight